Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Obama/Geithner Daylight Robbery
In case it's not already obvious, there is no difference between the two plans except another layer of financing pinned on the taxpayer:
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Issued May 2007 - Short real estate, home builders, bond insurers and leveraged financials
Current Target - Ongoing declines
Issued Oct 2007 - Conservative investors go 100% cash and Treasuries
Next target - Two years of physical cash in home; Ladder short to medium term US Treasuries with the rest; Minimize bank account balances, CDs, and non-treasury bonds; associate high paying bond yields with capital starvation
Issued Oct 2007 - Short Dow (14,100) and broad market indexes
Next Targets:
by 2012 - Dow 3,800
then - as high as Dow 6,000
by 2025 - Dow 800
Issued Oct 2007 - Short Automakers and Airlines
Next Target - More declines, many luxury makes go the way of Duesenberg
by 2020 - pain
Next Target - Gold $475, other PMs with proportionate or greater declines
By 2020 - Gold $225
Next Target - $25
by 2020 - $4
Relentless DEFLATION
Increasing US Dollar buying power as measured by falling real estate prices, stock prices, most asset prices, and falling treasury yields; Periods of excessively negative 3 month treasury yields
Continued transfer of taxpayer funds, high yield preferred stock, risky loan guaranties, and asset holdings to the Federal Reserve and connected bankers in the face of taxpayer clamor; result: increased strain on commercial and consumer credit accelerates deflation
Main Stream Media to continue promoting Federal Reserve and banker agenda: more debt, more debt, more debt
5,000+ bank failures
More bank consolidations intended to shift FDIC insurance obligations to common stockholder losses
FDIC bailout/restructuring that compromises insurance payouts
Massive "New Deal 2.0" in order to transfer maximum wealth from the poor (taxpayers) to the Federal Reserve, connected bankers and corporations, and to benefit politicians; result: same as the original New Deal, economic depression
Supreme Court Increased to 11 Justices by 2015, unless the conservative majority yields first
Higher mileage vehicles go cheap and dirty, not expensive and "Green"
Continuation of 2007+ global cooling
Private sector solution assured that we will have hyper inflation.
ReplyDeleteActually the Private Sector solution steals more wealth from the economy and gives it to private financiers, which is the goal of all deflations. We couldn't have a good deflation without financing hooked to yesterday's price tags.
ReplyDeleteSince they accomplished their goals thru government action, hyperinflation will follow.
ReplyDeletehyperinflation will not follow unless the gov't gives massive amounts of cash directly to the people. otherwise the debt or "credit" that MAY be extended by usery banks will cause further deflation as it enslaves people.
ReplyDeleteMoney is given to both Hedge funds, Insurance Companies, and Banks.
ReplyDeleteThe Gov't does not have to give massive amounts of cash directly to the people to cause inflation.
Private institutions who receives Gov't money can reflate by buying up commodities and stock bubbles which ultimately drives prices way up.
Private instutions are busy filling holes in their balance sheets. Also, GDP is 70% consumer spend. Lack of consumer spend affects corporate earnings, which hurts stock price multiples. Commodities, maybe some reflation, but overall demand is still down.
ReplyDelete"The Gov't does not have to give massive amounts of cash directly to the people to cause inflation. "
ReplyDeleteIf the gov could "give" a dime it would be an inflationary dime, but the gov has no longer has the authority to print currency in our country, they can only borrow at a net loss.
There are lots of topics on this site about how printing works in America, or does not work, in the case of deflation.
FDR,
ReplyDelete7858 on the Dow! Happy days are here again.
Looks like we've nearly reached the limit. If 7900 is any kind of substantive barrier, 7850 should be a good time to short.
@Anonymous (March 25, 2009 12:04 AM)
ReplyDelete"hyperinflation will not follow unless the gov't gives massive amounts of cash directly to the people. otherwise the debt or "credit" that MAY be extended by usery banks will cause further deflation as it enslaves people."
I agree. However, but we are already enslaved by this system, as predicted by Thomas Jefferson.
If you look at a chart of the Dow from say 1900 on, that mountain you see is the graphical representation of several things; one of which is FED-assisted hyperinflation.
ReplyDeleteIt is not difficult to make a case that we have already "been there, done that".
Now the right side of that graph is being drawn in real-time as our dysfunctional government intervenes, because (collectively) they simply "don't know any better".
Or?
ReplyDeleteJust trust they aren't looking out for you.
ReplyDeleteIf I remember correctly, when lehman asset's got auctioned the price they got was around 7 cents. Will the banks sell their assets for 7 cents
ReplyDeletefdralloveragain,
ReplyDeletePrice is determined by the last transaction.
A few good hedge funds can drive prices higher than government printing money and giving cash to every citizen.
As long as money keeps flowing to hedge funds, they will be the driving force behind our inflation, not you nor me.