Update to:
Green-Bubble and What Happens in Vegas Stays in Vegas
One of my easier forecasts was the one at the very bottom of this blog. All of the satellite data agrees, the Earth remains in its macro cooling trend since 1992. Today, we are a full degree colder than the year 1900. Global temperatures have chilled 0.64 degrees just since Al Gore published An Inconvenient Truth in 2006 (apparently more inconvenient than he realized).
Summer 2009 was freakishly cold, more than 5 degrees F below average across North America. It snowed in New York City on July 8. California's desert was 8.5 degrees colder than average. Australia's winter was over 10 degrees cooler than average. It is so cold, that the Obama administration has issued a gag order, threatening people who say that it is cold outside with "endangerment" of society.
Combined with the economic disaster caused by hysterical government borrowing at loanshark interest rates, spending the private-banker peddled cash on such things as starving our green plants of life-sustaining carbon, an anticipated extremely frigid winter presents a serious danger to those robbed of their money from our government's unfolding depression.
Go long blankets.
Are you saying that Volt will not be large enough for all of my blankets?
ReplyDeleteSo instead of a dust bowl, we'll be getting a mini ice age. Apparently sun spots or the lack of them lately, might be the reason of this cold weather change. The mini Ice Age of the 1700's was believed to be caused by a deep solar minimuim, like the one we're in now.
ReplyDeleteGo short ice cubes.
Great Blog.
Didn't you read the Rolling Stone article? Carbon credits are the next bubble.
ReplyDelete-Tony W
Is this why the price of oil jumped 5% today?
ReplyDeleteI don't know whether you are familiar with the deep solar minimum we may be entering. The prolonged absence of sunspots has, in the past, portended periods of solar quiescence. The most recent and noteworthy Maunder Minimum lasted almost 100 years from the early 17th to early 18th century. It ended around the time of the South Sea Bubble. The radiological and dendrochronological evidence from this period suggests average temperatures were much cooler. There was a briefer solar minimum in the 15th century (the Thames River was reported freezing over) and one that has also been blamed for a mini ice age at or around the time of the Vikings. Fascinating stuff in terms of sociological, political and economic correlation. Just google Maunder Minimum and you will be reading for hours.
Our immediate weather future in the western hemisphere may be influenced more by the strong el Nino. The most obvious effect has been the absence of any hurricanes of consequence (so far). Environment Canada is calling for a milder winter and below normal precipitation for the more populous areas (which would include most of the northeastern US). Who knows? Their powers of prediction are not infallible however my back and wallet will be happier if they are right.
I've noticed the Fall- blooming chrysanthemums flowering much earlier and my golden retriever stopped shedding a month ago - she already has a full winter coat.
ReplyDeleteI suspect both are more astute about the weather than Mr. Gore.
At home in Oklahoma - Jayhawk1
Please give the link that we are cooler than 1900. Thanks!
ReplyDeleteCrushing deflation or hyper inflation?
ReplyDeleteStay in cash or buy more PM’s?
Global cooling or global warming?
Buy a hot tub or sell my skies?
I was quite worried about what decisions to make until I realized all scenarios point to an ecological/economic meltdown. I can hit people over the head with my skies and cook them in the hot tub. Looks like a win win here.
Jayhawk said my golden retriever has a full winter coat.
ReplyDeleteI noticed that my house wren, hummingbirds, and baltimore orioles all left way early this summer for their winter trip south
Hello FDR,
ReplyDeleteAs always, thanks a lot for sharing your very interesting and knowledgeable comments with all of us.
I wanted to ask your opinion about a trend I have recently noted on the news. It seems that quite a few of the big banks' CEOs have decided to "step down" or "retire" almost simultaneously by the end of this year or in the near future.
For instance,
* Bank of America
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090930/ap_on_bi_ge/us_bank_of_america_lewis
* Morgan Stanley
http://www.cnbc.com/id/32783383/
* Wells Fargo
http://www.startribune.com/business/60318492.html
* Hartford Financial Group
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090929/ap_on_bi_ge/us_hartford_financial_ceo_2
* JP Morgan Chase (Speculation)
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090929/bs_nm/us_jpmorgan_3
I know that it might just be my imagination; but, isn't this pattern kind of strange?
Just my two cents.
"Please give the link that we are cooler than 1900. Thanks!"
ReplyDeletehttp://1.bp.blogspot.com/_z6yVX_9n9lQ/Sd0EcxaKghI/AAAAAAAAAJA/gQ6-6aoENbQ/s1600-h/globaltemplonger.gif
plus a few more years...
http://images.chron.com/blogs/sciguy/archives/HadCrut2008.jpg
to today...
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_z6yVX_9n9lQ/SsPHbXIsVMI/AAAAAAAAAQo/f5rXGY-w52Q/s1600-h/cooling.jpg
"It seems that quite a few of the big banks' CEOs have decided to "step down" or "retire" almost simultaneously by the end of this year or in the near future."
ReplyDeleteI like to read other viewpoints, even, and especially, if I disagree with them, and I distinctly remember Cramer's book says to sell any stock when the CEO steps down, no exceptions, "just sell it."
hettygreen wrote: "I don't know whether you are familiar with the deep solar minimum we may be entering. The prolonged absence of sunspots has, in the past, portended periods of solar quiescence."
ReplyDeleteInteresting. If this is what's going on then it's a very good thing indeed. With respect to the whole "global warming" thing, it buys us a *lot* of time to get our house in order.
In other words, if this is what's happening then I expect we won't need to cut back on our CO2 output nearly as rapidly as is claimed, and we can also take some time to figure out how to quickly remove it from the atmosphere before it becomes a problem.
None of this changes the validity (or lack thereof) of the fundamentals behind the global warming hypothesis, since those fundamentals have already been proven true (e.g., CO2 can be trivially shown to have greenhouse gas properties, as can water vapor).
JAM123 wrote: "* Wells Fargo
ReplyDeletehttp://www.startribune.com/business/60318492.html"
Note that at least for Wells Fargo, it's not the CEO stepping down, it's the chairman of the board. The CEO is stepping into that position while retaining his CEO status. While I suppose it's possible that the CEO of Wells might step down sometime in the near future, there's no evidence of that given in the article.
The other examples you mention indeed appear to be CEOs stepping down.
FDR. You post quality work and analysis, there's no need for embellishments. Sleet is not snow, sleet has nothing to do with temperature.
ReplyDeletePlease keep your work honest.
"Sleet is not snow"
ReplyDeleteThe headline said snow: "FREAK SUMMER STORM DUMPS SNOW ON YONKERS"
It might be worthwhile to look at longer term charts. Here, the opposite trend to what is laid out in the post can be shown: that the rate of change of temperature is rising (nevermind the average temperature).
ReplyDeletehttp://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Fig.E.lrg.gif
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Ts_vs.year+month.lrg.gif
"It might be worthwhile to look at longer term charts. Here, the opposite trend to what is laid out in the post can be shown: that the rate of change of temperature is rising"
ReplyDeleteThat's what I said in "Green Bubble" linked above, as the story this continues.
We are probably in a several million year warming trend, within which, anything can happen in the next few hundred thousand years.
Typically there is an ice age every 100,000 years or so, possibly due to asteroid strike cycles.
Might be a little premature, but here's something to add to your evidence.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local-beat/No-Kidding-Snow-on-Sunday--63751227.html
Oct 10, 2009,
ReplyDeleteRockies-Phillies game postponed by snow.
Oops, it looks like the russians just told your wife what you were doing in vegas.
ReplyDeleteTruth usually always comes out. Thank you russia for hacking the Climate Research Institute.