tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post275001669765457461..comments2023-08-10T11:39:24.714-04:00Comments on fdralloveragain: When Does the Fed Start to Help?fdralloveragainhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03488923148019117760noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-27468789036112752882009-03-21T08:45:00.000-04:002009-03-21T08:45:00.000-04:00increase in taxation rates is miniscule compared t...increase in taxation rates is miniscule compared to your gain/loss rate.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-42506745129588236942009-03-20T20:41:00.000-04:002009-03-20T20:41:00.000-04:00So given your idea and what has happened recently ...So given your idea and what has happened recently would you not buy the TBT (Short Treasuries) for a 2-3 year play?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-62020762957253785412009-03-19T22:44:00.000-04:002009-03-19T22:44:00.000-04:00"My question is: Most of my money (savings) is in ..."My question is: Most of my money (savings) is in tax-deferred IRAs. Would I be better off going ahead and withdrawing it now and paying the taxes and penalties, rather than chance losing it to possible increased taxation rates in the future?"<BR/><BR/>I have been asked that question a lot offline. No one can answer that but you. <BR/><BR/>Personally, I do not have a dime in an IRA or 401K, and I never have. Part of that is because I can do better than the tax advantage, but the other part is that I knew this day would come. <BR/><BR/>If you let a bear tie you up for a small fee, don't be surprised if he eats you alive.fdralloveragainhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03488923148019117760noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-37405800987904981072009-03-19T22:39:00.000-04:002009-03-19T22:39:00.000-04:00"So why would anyone buy long-term Treasuries at a..."So why would anyone buy long-term Treasuries at an artificially low yield rate?"<BR/><BR/>T rates are market-driven, they aren't artificial. If T rates are low it is because, empirically, the currency supply is dwindling from a lack of commercial borrowing.fdralloveragainhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03488923148019117760noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-76175857329130493602009-03-19T22:03:00.000-04:002009-03-19T22:03:00.000-04:00FDR - Won't act entirely on your advice, but do va...FDR - Won't act entirely on your advice, but do value it. <BR/><BR/>My question is: Most of my money (savings) is in tax-deferred IRAs. Would I be better off going ahead and withdrawing it now and paying the taxes and penalties, rather than chance losing it to possible increased taxation rates in the future?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-56781052496202973762009-03-19T20:23:00.000-04:002009-03-19T20:23:00.000-04:00I think wave C has topped. Watch for an attempt a...I think wave C has topped. Watch for an attempt at SnP 795-805 in the next day or two, only to fail. We are about to plunge over the next 2 weeks, ending in early April somewhere in the Dow 5000's. Fasten your seatbelts.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-81891515388463515112009-03-19T17:07:00.000-04:002009-03-19T17:07:00.000-04:00My point is not that Treasury yield rates are tooh...My point is not that Treasury yield rates are toohigh OR low - it is that they are increasingly going to be seen as INSOLVENT. These are not normal markets, where gold prices are dictated strictly by yield rates!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-10901545255228399412009-03-19T16:57:00.000-04:002009-03-19T16:57:00.000-04:00"Certainly this should dry up foreign investors - ..."Certainly this should dry up foreign investors - they can see the writing on the wall - if Treasuries are going to be held down to artificially low yield rates, how long before they start dumping T-bills they already have onto a flooded market.<BR/><BR/>BUY GOLD again."<BR/><BR/>++++++++++<BR/><BR/>If Treasury rates were to ratchet higher gold, which pays no interest or dividend, would get absolutely hammered. Are you a goldbug asking for higher rates??? Higher Treasury rates due to foreigners not buying would be HIGHLY deflationary at this point.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8305505968390768234.post-8269973109074919102009-03-19T16:39:00.000-04:002009-03-19T16:39:00.000-04:00So why would anyone buy long-term Treasuries at an...So why would anyone buy long-term Treasuries at an artificially low yield rate? - T-bill yields SHOULD be much higher except for the Fed's monetizing scheme.<BR/><BR/>Certainly this should dry up foreign investors - they can see the writing on the wall - if Treasuries are going to be held down to artificially low yield rates, how long before they start dumping T-bills they already have onto a flooded market.<BR/><BR/>BUY GOLD again.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com